Application of Artificial Neural Networks for Flood Forecasting
نویسنده
چکیده
In hydrology, as in a number of diverse fields, there has been an increasing use of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as black-box simplified models. This is mainly justified by their ability to model complex non-linear patterns; in addition they can self-adjust and produce a consistent response when ‘trained’ using observed outputs. This paper utilises various types of ANNs in an attempt to assess the relative performance of existing models. Ali Efenti, a subcatchment of the river Pinios (Greece), is examined and the results support the hypothesis that ANNs can produce qualitative forecasts. A 7-hour ahead forecast in particular proves to be of fairly high precision, especially when an error prediction technique is introduced to the ANN models.
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